MEXICO CITY — Mexico’s main auto parts association INA forecasts that the severe semiconductor shortage that has slammed the brakes on the global auto industry will subside in July and return to normal by the end of this year.
Semiconductor chips are a crucial component for electronics in modern cars, including touch-screen displays as well as driver assist and other safety systems.
The chip shortage in North America alone has caused the region’s carmakers to cut previously expected output by 1.16 million vehicles in May, a figure that has accelerated each month since the start of the year, according to data from IHS Markit.
INA’s head of foreign trade, Alberto Bustamante, forecast in an interview on Thursday that the semiconductor shortage will begin to ease by the second half of July before returning to normal in December.
The supply crunch began last year as the coronavirus pandemic forced the North American auto industry to shut down for a couple of months, which kicked off a cascading series of order cancellations.
Bustamante pointed to steadily growing vaccination rates in major economies and ebbing infections as helping drive a return to normal for the auto sector.
He noted that after Mexico’s auto parts output dropped 20 percent last year in value terms due to the pandemic, a nearly 18 percent uptick is expected this year to reach $92.4 billion in production value. A full recovery to pre-pandemic levels is forecast by 2022.
Mexico’s massive auto sector is the country’s top foreign currency earner, and employs more than 850,000 people.
Bustamente predicted that by 2023, the value of the country’s auto parts production will likely exceed $102 billion, fueled by a revamped North American trade pact that incentivizes more regionally produced content, among other factors.
Every vehicle assembled in the United States includes up to $5,500 in Mexican-made parts, he said.